54 13 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
819 -12 Strength Momentum |
890 42.1(53) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | Clovis | 0.002 | 1176 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 736 | 15% | |
08/29/15 | at Hobbs | 0.002 | 1254 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-2) | 690 | 9% | |
09/01/15 | Moriarty | 0.012 | 904 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 802 | 41% | |
09/03/15 | at Clovis | 0.002 | 1176 | L 0-10 | Expected (-6) | 487 | 13% | |
09/08/15 | Lovington | 0.034 | 886 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 793 | 43% | |
09/10/15 | Desert Academy | 0.034 | 627 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+2) | 914 | 76% | |
09/12/15 | Pojoaque ! | 0.058 | 794 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+2) | 897 | 56% | |
09/17/15 | Ruidoso | 0.111 | 915 | L 4- 5 | Expected (0) | 808 | 39% | |
09/19/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.136 | 985 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 812 | 27% | |
09/21/15 | at Lovington ? | 0.104 | 886 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-4) | 610 | 38% | |
09/26/15 | at NMMI | 0.272 | 890 | L 4- 6 | Expected (-1) | 764 | 38% | |
10/01/15 | at Goddard ?? | 0.309 | 857 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-3) | 647 | 42% | |
10/03/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.494 | 915 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 827 | 34% | |
10/09/15 | East Mountain | 0.586 | 701 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 901 | 68% | |
10/12/15 | Roswell | 0.386 | 1039 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-3) | 667 | 26% | |
10/17/15 | NMMI !! | 0.916 | 890 | W 3- 2 | Better (+2) | 895 | 43% | |
10/24/15 | at East Mountain | 0.997 | 701 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 769 | 64% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Portales actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 890, while
Portales's "weighted playing strength" is 803
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
Go back to ratings for Boys Varsity Girls Varsity Main Page