2015 Season results for Portales (BV,4-4A)

54   13   3
Rank in
State, Class, District
819     -12
Strength     Momentum
890   42.1(53)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  4W   12L   1T 
District  2W   3L   1T 
Expected  15:   1+   1- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/25/15 Clovis 0.0021176L 0- 5 Expected (-2) 736 15%
08/29/15 at Hobbs 0.0021254L 0- 7 Expected (-2) 690 9%
09/01/15 Moriarty 0.012904L 2- 3 Expected (0) 802 41%
09/03/15 at Clovis 0.0021176L 0-10 Expected (-6) 487 13%
09/08/15 Lovington 0.034886L 2- 3 Expected (-1) 793 43%
09/10/15 Desert Academy 0.034627W 5- 1 Expected (+2) 914 76%
09/12/15 Pojoaque ! 0.058794W 2- 0 Expected (+2) 897 56%
09/17/15 Ruidoso 0.111915L 4- 5 Expected (0) 808 39%
09/19/15 at Santa Fe Prep 0.136985L 1- 3 Expected (0) 812 27%
09/21/15 at Lovington ? 0.104886L 0- 5 Expected (-4) 610 38%
09/26/15 at NMMI 0.272890L 4- 6 Expected (-1) 764 38%
10/01/15 at Goddard ?? 0.309857L 1- 5 Expected (-3) 647 42%
10/03/15 at Ruidoso 0.494915L 1- 2 Expected (0) 827 34%
10/09/15 East Mountain 0.586701W 3- 0 Expected (+2) 901 68%
10/12/15 Roswell 0.3861039L 1- 6 Expected (-3) 667 26%
10/17/15 NMMI !! 0.916890W 3- 2 Better (+2) 895 43%
10/24/15 at East Mountain 0.997701T 1- 1 Worse (-1) 769 64%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Portales actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 890, while
Portales's "weighted playing strength" is 803
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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