| Overall | 11W 8L 1T |
| District | 2W 3L 1T |
| Expected | 16: 4+ 0- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
44 13 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
904 -77 Strength Momentum |
937 47.5(41) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/22/15 | Los Lunas | 0.002 | 1165 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 925 | 24% |  |
| 08/29/15 | at Capital | 0.003 | 1241 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-2) | 777 | 14% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Portales | 0.012 | 819 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 921 | 59% | |
| 09/03/15 | Santa Fe !! | 0.016 | 1162 | W 4- 2 | Better (+4) | 1123 | 23% | |
| 09/04/15 | at Sandia Prep ? | 0.014 | 1057 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 788 | 28% | |
| 09/08/15 | Rio Grande | 0.036 | 936 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 960 | 48% | |
| 09/10/15 | Belen ! | 0.021 | 869 | W 7- 1 | Expected (+5) | 1181 | 56% | |
| 09/12/15 | Aztec | 0.062 | 938 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 961 | 48% | |
| 09/15/15 | Manzano | 0.091 | 886 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 935 | 55% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Del Norte | 0.101 | 784 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+1) | 953 | 64% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Gallup | 0.010 | 570 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1266 | 83% | |
| 09/24/15 | Hope Christian | 0.232 | 1009 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 897 | 38% | |
| 10/01/15 | at Bernalillo | 0.431 | 898 | L 5- 6 | Expected (-1) | 860 | 48% | |
| 10/03/15 | Artesia | 0.287 | 592 | W 7- 2 | Expected (+2) | 991 | 84% | |
| 10/06/15 | at St. Pius ?? | 0.345 | 1010 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-4) | 714 | 33% | |
| 10/08/15 | Grants | 0.623 | 638 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 861 | 81% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.122 | 1387 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-4) | 690 | 6% | |
| 10/15/15 | St. Pius | 0.878 | 1010 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 947 | 38% | |
| 10/22/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.252 | 1387 | L 1- 8 | Expected (-2) | 779 | 8% | |
| 10/23/15 | at Grants | 0.253 | 638 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1137 | 78% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Moriarty actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 937, while
Moriarty's "weighted playing strength" is 898
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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