| Overall | 7W 9L 1T |
| District | 1W 4L 1T |
| Expected | 16: 0+ 1- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
45 13 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
898 -94 Strength Momentum |
918 43.5(48) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/15 | at Aztec | 0.023 | 938 | L 3- 4 | Expected (0) | 878 | 41% |  |
| 09/12/15 | Grants | 0.036 | 638 | W 7- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1011 | 81% | |
| 09/16/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.073 | 985 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-3) | 750 | 35% | |
| 09/17/15 | Gallup | 0.037 | 570 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1081 | 86% | |
| 09/23/15 | Del Norte | 0.220 | 784 | T 2- 2 | Worse (-1) | 831 | 68% | |
| 09/24/15 | Pojoaque !! | 0.203 | 794 | W 5- 2 | Expected (+2) | 987 | 66% | |
| 09/26/15 | Capital | 0.141 | 1241 | L 2- 7 | Expected (-2) | 807 | 16% | |
| 09/28/15 | at Taos | 0.032 | 1288 | L 2-12 | Expected (-6) | 582 | 11% | |
| 10/01/15 | Moriarty | 0.431 | 904 | W 6- 5 | Expected (+1) | 941 | 52% | |
| 10/03/15 | Los Alamos | 0.180 | 1257 | L 1- 7 | Expected (-3) | 764 | 15% | |
| 10/06/15 | at East Mountain | 0.523 | 701 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 909 | 72% | |
| 10/08/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.639 | 918 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 848 | 50% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Del Norte ! | 0.355 | 784 | W 7- 2 | Expected (+4) | 1103 | 64% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Capital ? | 0.267 | 1241 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-3) | 722 | 13% | |
| 10/15/15 | Desert Academy | 0.625 | 627 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+1) | 954 | 82% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Santa Fe ?? | 0.298 | 1162 | L 3-10 | Expected (-4) | 683 | 20% | |
| 10/21/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.091 | 1257 | L 0-10 | Expected (-6) | 567 | 12% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Bernalillo actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 918, while
Bernalillo's "weighted playing strength" is 878
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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