2015 Season results for Taos (BV,5-4A)

9   2   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1288     271
Strength     Momentum
985   54.7(25)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  14W   2L   1T 
District  6W   0L   0T 
Expected  14:   1+   2- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/21/15 Santa Fe 0.0011162W 8- 3 Expected (+4)1467 68%
08/22/15 Hatch 0.001987W 5- 0 Expected (+2)1380 83%
08/22/15 Monte del Sol !! 0.000918W 8- 0 Expected (+4)1503 88%
08/31/15 at St. Michael's 0.002870W 9- 1 Expected (+4)1498 88%
09/02/15 St. Pius ? 0.0121010L 1- 3 Worse (-5)1039 82%
09/08/15 Santa Fe Prep 0.030985W 5- 2 Expected (0)1278 84%
09/12/15 at Monte del Sol 0.047918W 3- 0 Expected (0)1263 86%
09/22/15 at Hope Christian ?? 0.1981009L 3- 4 Worse (-4)1108 79%
09/26/15 at Los Alamos 0.2541257W 3- 1 Expected (+2)1382 52%
09/28/15 Bernalillo ! 0.032898W 12- 2 Expected (+6)1603 89%
10/01/15 Bosque 0.4341317T 2- 2 Better (0)1293 48%
10/03/15 at Questa 0.033592W 10- 0 Expected (+3)1469 98%
10/05/15 at Pojoaque 0.037794W 11- 1 Expected (+5)1570 92%
10/08/15 Robertson 0.623993W 2- 0 Expected (-1)1231 83%
10/13/15 Questa 0.076592W 10- 0 Expected (+3)1450 98%
10/17/15 at Robertson 0.332993W 6- 0 Expected (+3)1454 80%
10/19/15 Pojoaque 0.089794W 11- 1 Expected (+5)1551 94%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Taos actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 985, while
Taos's "weighted playing strength" is 1319
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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