9 2 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1288 271 Strength Momentum |
985 54.7(25) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | Santa Fe | 0.001 | 1162 | W 8- 3 | Expected (+4) | 1467 | 68% | |
08/22/15 | Hatch | 0.001 | 987 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1380 | 83% | |
08/22/15 | Monte del Sol !! | 0.000 | 918 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1503 | 88% | |
08/31/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.002 | 870 | W 9- 1 | Expected (+4) | 1498 | 88% | |
09/02/15 | St. Pius ? | 0.012 | 1010 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-5) | 1039 | 82% | |
09/08/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.030 | 985 | W 5- 2 | Expected (0) | 1278 | 84% | |
09/12/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.047 | 918 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1263 | 86% | |
09/22/15 | at Hope Christian ?? | 0.198 | 1009 | L 3- 4 | Worse (-4) | 1108 | 79% | |
09/26/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.254 | 1257 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1382 | 52% | |
09/28/15 | Bernalillo ! | 0.032 | 898 | W 12- 2 | Expected (+6) | 1603 | 89% | |
10/01/15 | Bosque | 0.434 | 1317 | T 2- 2 | Better (0) | 1293 | 48% | |
10/03/15 | at Questa | 0.033 | 592 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1469 | 98% | |
10/05/15 | at Pojoaque | 0.037 | 794 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+5) | 1570 | 92% | |
10/08/15 | Robertson | 0.623 | 993 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1231 | 83% | |
10/13/15 | Questa | 0.076 | 592 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1450 | 98% | |
10/17/15 | at Robertson | 0.332 | 993 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1454 | 80% | |
10/19/15 | Pojoaque | 0.089 | 794 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+5) | 1551 | 94% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Taos actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 985, while
Taos's "weighted playing strength" is 1319
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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