8 1 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1317 150 Strength Momentum |
1009 63.8(4) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.000 | 799 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1588 | 94% | |
08/25/15 | Los Alamos | 0.003 | 1257 | T 2- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1277 | 61% | |
08/28/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.006 | 985 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-3) | 1142 | 86% | |
08/29/15 | at Roswell | 0.007 | 1039 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-2) | 1238 | 79% | |
08/29/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.007 | 1257 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1247 | 56% | |
09/05/15 | Farmington ? | 0.020 | 1173 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-4) | 1135 | 71% | |
09/08/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.008 | 694 | W 9- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1406 | 98% | |
09/10/15 | at Los Lunas ?? | 0.044 | 1165 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 1151 | 65% | |
09/12/15 | at Bloomfield | 0.060 | 647 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-5) | 1041 | 98% | |
09/15/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.065 | 1057 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1378 | 81% | |
09/19/15 | Hope Christian | 0.144 | 1009 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-2) | 1204 | 84% | |
09/22/15 | St. Michael's ! | 0.045 | 870 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1494 | 92% | |
09/24/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.183 | 918 | W 4- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1277 | 88% | |
09/29/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.312 | 985 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1292 | 86% | |
10/01/15 | at Taos | 0.434 | 1288 | T 2- 2 | Worse (0) | 1312 | 52% | |
10/07/15 | at Rehoboth Christian | 0.478 | 694 | W 4- 1 | Expected (-3) | 1166 | 97% | |
10/13/15 | at Sandia Prep !! | 0.512 | 1057 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1398 | 78% | |
10/16/15 | at Hope Christian | 0.560 | 1009 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1374 | 82% | |
10/20/15 | Bloomfield | 0.218 | 647 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1382 | 99% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Bosque actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1009, while
Bosque's "weighted playing strength" is 1305
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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