| Overall | 14W 4L 2T |
| District | 8W 0L 0T |
| Expected | 14: 3+ 3- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
19 8 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1173 330 Strength Momentum |
997 59.0(9) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/28/15 | Roswell ?? | 0.006 | 1039 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-3) | 1047 | 69% |  |
| 08/28/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.006 | 985 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1070 | 75% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Clovis | 0.007 | 1176 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1134 | 47% | |
| 09/05/15 | at Bosque | 0.020 | 1317 | W 2- 0 | Better (+4) | 1355 | 29% | |
| 09/10/15 | Mayfield | 0.044 | 1051 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1203 | 67% | |
| 09/11/15 | at Capital | 0.052 | 1241 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1266 | 38% | |
| 09/12/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.052 | 1387 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1139 | 23% | |
| 09/15/15 | Bloomfield | 0.030 | 647 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1257 | 96% | |
| 09/18/15 | at St. Pius | 0.130 | 1010 | T 3- 3 | Worse (-1) | 1101 | 69% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.174 | 799 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-2) | 1096 | 86% | |
| 09/24/15 | Aztec !! | 0.078 | 938 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1403 | 79% | |
| 09/29/15 | Gallup | 0.035 | 570 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1382 | 98% | |
| 10/01/15 | Capital | 0.431 | 1241 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 1247 | 43% | |
| 10/06/15 | Miyamura | 0.056 | 708 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1451 | 93% | |
| 10/08/15 | Piedra Vista ! | 0.062 | 799 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1496 | 88% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Aztec | 0.790 | 938 | W 4- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1115 | 76% | |
| 10/15/15 | Gallup | 0.081 | 570 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1382 | 98% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.863 | 1387 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 1189 | 23% | |
| 10/22/15 | at Miyamura | 0.065 | 708 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1470 | 91% | |
| 10/23/15 | Hope Christian | 0.930 | 1009 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1182 | 73% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Farmington actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 997, while
Farmington's "weighted playing strength" is 1196
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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