Strength
Strength
|
59 20 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
708 148 Strength Momentum |
799 32.2(65) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | at Grants | 0.002 | 638 | T 3- 3 | Worse (-1) | 682 | 57% | |
| 08/22/15 | Bloomfield | 0.001 | 647 | L 0- 3 | Worse (-4) | 517 | 61% | |
| 08/22/15 | at Lovington ? | 0.000 | 886 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-6) | 397 | 26% | |
| 08/25/15 | Bloomfield | 0.003 | 647 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 568 | 61% | |
| 08/27/15 | at Rehoboth Christian ?? | 0.002 | 694 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-6) | 406 | 49% | |
| 09/09/15 | at Grants | 0.041 | 638 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-1) | 682 | 57% | |
| 09/12/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.009 | 1162 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-4) | 480 | 8% | |
| 09/15/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.080 | 694 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-2) | 591 | 54% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Belen | 0.116 | 869 | T 4- 4 | Better (+2) | 798 | 30% | |
| 09/19/15 | at West Mesa | 0.122 | 1119 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 773 | 10% | |
| 09/24/15 | at Gallup !! | 0.150 | 570 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+3) | 850 | 65% | |
| 09/29/15 | Piedra Vista | 0.358 | 799 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 694 | 41% | |
| 10/01/15 | Aztec | 0.379 | 938 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 713 | 25% | |
| 10/06/15 | at Farmington | 0.056 | 1173 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 430 | 7% | |
| 10/13/15 | Gallup ! | 0.587 | 570 | W 6- 2 | Expected (+2) | 831 | 70% | |
| 10/15/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.821 | 799 | L 2- 4 | Expected (-1) | 663 | 36% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Aztec | 0.218 | 938 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-6) | 423 | 22% | |
| 10/22/15 | Farmington | 0.065 | 1173 | L 0-10 | Expected (-6) | 411 | 9% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Miyamura actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 799, while
Miyamura's "weighted playing strength" is 695
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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