2015 Season results for Grants (BV,5-5A)

63   21   4
Rank in
State, Class, District
638     -30
Strength     Momentum
904   41.9(54)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  2W   13L   2T 
District  0W   6L   0T 
Expected  14:   3+   0- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
 

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/20/15 Los Lunas 0.0001165L 1-11 Expected (-5) 372 7%
08/21/15 Miyamura 0.002708T 3- 3 Better (+1) 663 43%
08/21/15 Lovington ? 0.000886L 0-10 Expected (-8) 233 23%
08/29/15 Socorro 0.0041047L 2- 6 Expected (0) 632 12%
09/01/15 Rehoboth Christian ?? 0.002694L 0- 8 Expected (-8) 247 44%
09/03/15 at Gallup ! 0.015570W 4- 2 Expected (+2) 714 56%
09/09/15 Miyamura 0.041708T 0- 0 Better (+1) 663 43%
09/12/15 at Bernalillo 0.036898L 2- 7 Expected (-2) 525 19%
09/15/15 at Aztec 0.053938L 0- 5 Expected (-2) 545 16%
09/19/15 Pojoaque !! 0.136794W 5- 3 Better (+3) 807 32%
09/22/15 at Socorro 0.0451047L 1- 9 Expected (-4) 442 10%
10/06/15 Albuquerque Academy 0.0391387L 0-10 Expected (-3) 483 1%
10/08/15 at Moriarty 0.623904L 0- 2 Expected (+1) 680 19%
10/13/15 at St. Pius 0.0761010L 1-11 Expected (-6) 314 12%
10/15/15 at Albuquerque Academy 0.0811387L 0-10 Expected (-2) 502 1%
10/22/15 St. Pius 0.0651010L 1-11 Expected (-6) 295 14%
10/23/15 Moriarty 0.253904L 0- 7 Expected (-5) 405 22%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Grants actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 904, while
Grants's "weighted playing strength" is 576
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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