| Overall | 16W 2L 1T |
| District | 5W 0L 1T |
| Expected | 12: 6+ 1- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
32 10 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1039 47 Strength Momentum |
915 62.8(5) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25/15 | Carlsbad !! | 0.002 | 1103 | W 5- 0 | Better (+5) | 1314 | 44% |  |
| 08/28/15 | at Farmington | 0.006 | 1173 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 1166 | 31% | |
| 08/29/15 | Bosque | 0.007 | 1317 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1119 | 21% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Goddard | 0.003 | 857 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1210 | 70% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.012 | 1103 | W 3- 2 | Better (+2) | 1131 | 39% | |
| 09/04/15 | Hatch ! | 0.006 | 987 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1360 | 60% | |
| 09/05/15 | Valencia ?? | 0.014 | 1241 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 930 | 29% | |
| 09/05/15 | at Lovington | 0.022 | 886 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1022 | 67% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Clovis | 0.034 | 1176 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 1168 | 31% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Valencia | 0.041 | 1241 | W 2- 0 | Better (+4) | 1250 | 26% | |
| 09/15/15 | Hobbs | 0.091 | 1254 | W 1- 0 | Better (+3) | 1187 | 27% | |
| 09/29/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.025 | 915 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+9) | 1507 | 64% | |
| 10/06/15 | Goddard | 0.599 | 857 | T 3- 3 | Worse (-2) | 939 | 74% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Lovington | 0.702 | 886 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 1022 | 67% | |
| 10/12/15 | at Portales | 0.386 | 819 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1191 | 74% | |
| 10/15/15 | Artesia | 0.081 | 592 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1326 | 92% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Goddard | 0.885 | 857 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1008 | 70% | |
| 10/20/15 | Lovington | 0.814 | 886 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1104 | 71% | |
| 10/22/15 | at Artesia | 0.065 | 592 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+6) | 1345 | 90% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Roswell actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 915, while
Roswell's "weighted playing strength" is 1065
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
Go back to ratings for Boys Varsity Girls Varsity Main Page