42 9 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
915 -49 Strength Momentum |
886 48.3(38) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | Goddard ?? | 0.003 | 857 | L 2- 5 | Worse (-4) | 726 | 61% | |
08/29/15 | Lovington ? | 0.004 | 886 | L 0- 4 | Worse (-4) | 690 | 57% | |
09/04/15 | at Goddard !! | 0.017 | 857 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+2) | 996 | 55% | |
09/05/15 | Valencia | 0.002 | 1241 | L 0-10 | Expected (-7) | 549 | 19% | |
09/05/15 | at Lovington | 0.023 | 886 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 860 | 52% | |
09/17/15 | at Portales ! | 0.111 | 819 | W 5- 4 | Expected (0) | 927 | 61% | |
09/19/15 | at Silver | 0.052 | 799 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1171 | 63% | |
09/22/15 | Hatch | 0.191 | 987 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 892 | 43% | |
09/24/15 | East Mountain | 0.240 | 701 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-1) | 849 | 77% | |
09/26/15 | Silver | 0.207 | 799 | W 6- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1049 | 68% | |
09/28/15 | at Socorro | 0.245 | 1047 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 789 | 31% | |
09/29/15 | Roswell | 0.025 | 1039 | L 0-10 | Expected (-9) | 448 | 36% | |
10/03/15 | Portales | 0.494 | 819 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 908 | 66% | |
10/08/15 | at Hatch | 0.150 | 987 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-7) | 551 | 38% | |
10/10/15 | NMMI | 0.733 | 890 | T 4- 4 | Worse (0) | 893 | 57% | |
10/15/15 | Socorro | 0.841 | 1047 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 922 | 35% | |
10/19/15 | at East Mountain | 0.724 | 701 | W 5- 2 | Expected (+1) | 968 | 74% | |
10/24/15 | at NMMI | 0.997 | 890 | T 2- 2 | Worse (0) | 912 | 51% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Ruidoso actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 886, while
Ruidoso's "weighted playing strength" is 904
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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