| Overall | 15W 5L 0T |
| District | 6W 4L 0T |
| Expected | 15: 2+ 3- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
13 4 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1241 -120 Strength Momentum |
1111 57.0(21) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25/15 | Socorro | 0.002 | 1047 | W 6- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1336 | 74% |  |
| 08/29/15 | at Artesia | 0.001 | 592 | W 9- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1336 | 96% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Gallup | 0.001 | 570 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1435 | 97% | |
| 09/04/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.019 | 1103 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1232 | 64% | |
| 09/05/15 | at Roswell | 0.014 | 1039 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1351 | 71% | |
| 09/05/15 | at Ruidoso !! | 0.002 | 915 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1608 | 81% | |
| 09/10/15 | Roswell ?? | 0.041 | 1039 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-4) | 1031 | 74% | |
| 09/12/15 | at West Mesa | 0.054 | 1119 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1290 | 62% | |
| 09/15/15 | Del Norte | 0.030 | 784 | W 8- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1359 | 92% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Capital | 0.127 | 1241 | W 2- 0 | Better (+2) | 1351 | 48% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Chaparral | 0.186 | 1237 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-2) | 1149 | 48% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Belen ! | 0.019 | 869 | W 12- 2 | Expected (+6) | 1584 | 83% | |
| 09/29/15 | Centennial | 0.349 | 1281 | W 3- 1 | Better (+2) | 1351 | 48% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.494 | 1197 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1179 | 53% | |
| 10/06/15 | Los Lunas ? | 0.574 | 1165 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1144 | 61% | |
| 10/10/15 | Chaparral | 0.727 | 1237 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1280 | 52% | |
| 10/13/15 | Belen | 0.267 | 869 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1402 | 85% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Centennial | 0.658 | 1281 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-3) | 1069 | 44% | |
| 10/22/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.926 | 1197 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1310 | 57% | |
| 10/24/15 | at Los Lunas | 0.955 | 1165 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1263 | 56% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Valencia actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1111, while
Valencia's "weighted playing strength" is 1241
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
Go back to ratings for Boys Varsity Girls Varsity Main Page