| Overall | 13W 7L 0T |
| District | 7W 3L 0T |
| Expected | 14: 0+ 6- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
9 2 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1281 150 Strength Momentum |
1165 55.2(23) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/18/15 | Gadsden ?? | 0.001 | 1154 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 1107 | 66% |  |
| 08/25/15 | at Alamogordo | 0.003 | 1055 | W 5- 3 | Expected (0) | 1278 | 72% | |
| 08/28/15 | Deming | 0.006 | 831 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-3) | 1146 | 90% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Alamogordo | 0.007 | 1055 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1228 | 72% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Mayfield | 0.005 | 1051 | W 5- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1326 | 72% | |
| 09/04/15 | Hobbs | 0.019 | 1254 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-1) | 1208 | 55% | |
| 09/08/15 | Deming | 0.003 | 831 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1566 | 90% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Capital | 0.044 | 1241 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-2) | 1170 | 52% | |
| 09/11/15 | at Mayfield | 0.052 | 1051 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1226 | 72% | |
| 09/12/15 | Cleveland | 0.060 | 1414 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 1287 | 37% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Los Lunas | 0.191 | 1165 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 1282 | 60% | |
| 09/26/15 | Chaparral | 0.288 | 1237 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1299 | 56% | |
| 09/29/15 | at Valencia | 0.349 | 1241 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-2) | 1170 | 52% | |
| 10/06/15 | at Santa Teresa ? | 0.560 | 1197 | L 3- 5 | Worse (-3) | 1148 | 57% | |
| 10/10/15 | Los Lunas ! | 0.522 | 1165 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1415 | 64% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Chaparral | 0.771 | 1237 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-2) | 1168 | 52% | |
| 10/15/15 | Belen | 0.197 | 869 | W 9- 1 | Expected (+4) | 1475 | 88% | |
| 10/17/15 | Valencia !! | 0.658 | 1241 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1453 | 56% | |
| 10/22/15 | at Belen | 0.065 | 869 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1604 | 85% | |
| 10/24/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.989 | 1197 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1279 | 61% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Centennial actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1165, while
Centennial's "weighted playing strength" is 1289
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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