2015 Season results for Deming (BV,3-6A)

53   23   5
Rank in
State, Class, District
831     -118
Strength     Momentum
1175   40.6(58)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  2W   18L   0T 
District  0W   8L   0T 
Expected  20:   0+   0- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
 

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/18/15 Chaparral 0.0011237L 1- 2 Expected (+3) 974 14%
08/20/15 at Silver ! 0.001799W 5- 2 Expected (+3) 975 51%
08/21/15 Alamogordo 0.0011055L 0- 2 Expected (0) 833 27%
08/28/15 at Centennial 0.0061281L 1- 3 Expected (+3) 965 10%
08/29/15 Santa Teresa ? 0.0021197L 0- 7 Expected (-4) 648 16%
08/29/15 Chaparral 0.0011237L 1- 9 Expected (-4) 614 14%
09/08/15 at Centennial 0.0031281L 0-10 Expected (-5) 545 10%
09/10/15 Silver !! 0.027799W 5- 0 Expected (+4)1058 56%
09/12/15 at Santa Teresa 0.0621197L 1- 2 Expected (+3) 973 14%
09/15/15 at Chaparral 0.0761237L 0- 3 Expected (+1) 893 12%
09/16/15 Santa Teresa 0.0261197L 0- 7 Expected (-4) 648 16%
09/19/15 at Alamogordo ?? 0.0331055L 0- 8 Expected (-6) 543 24%
09/22/15 Gadsden 0.1911154L 1- 2 Expected (+2) 933 19%
09/26/15 at Mayfield 0.2721051L 2- 4 Expected (0) 850 24%
09/29/15 at Onate 0.3701018L 0- 1 Expected (+1) 884 28%
10/01/15 Las Cruces 0.3281261L 0- 3 Expected (+1) 886 12%
10/08/15 at Gadsden 0.6611154L 0- 1 Expected (+2) 952 17%
10/13/15 Mayfield 0.6221051L 0- 3 Expected (-1) 781 28%
10/17/15 Onate 0.5731018L 1- 5 Expected (-2) 714 31%
10/24/15 at Las Cruces 0.3221261L 0- 7 Expected (-3) 699 10%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Deming actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1175, while
Deming's "weighted playing strength" is 833
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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