53 23 5 Rank in State, Class, District |
831 -118 Strength Momentum |
1175 40.6(58) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/18/15 | Chaparral | 0.001 | 1237 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+3) | 974 | 14% | ![]() |
08/20/15 | at Silver ! | 0.001 | 799 | W 5- 2 | Expected (+3) | 975 | 51% | ![]() |
08/21/15 | Alamogordo | 0.001 | 1055 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 833 | 27% | ![]() |
08/28/15 | at Centennial | 0.006 | 1281 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+3) | 965 | 10% | ![]() |
08/29/15 | Santa Teresa ? | 0.002 | 1197 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-4) | 648 | 16% | ![]() |
08/29/15 | Chaparral | 0.001 | 1237 | L 1- 9 | Expected (-4) | 614 | 14% | ![]() |
09/08/15 | at Centennial | 0.003 | 1281 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 545 | 10% | ![]() |
09/10/15 | Silver !! | 0.027 | 799 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1058 | 56% | ![]() |
09/12/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.062 | 1197 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+3) | 973 | 14% | ![]() |
09/15/15 | at Chaparral | 0.076 | 1237 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 893 | 12% | ![]() |
09/16/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.026 | 1197 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-4) | 648 | 16% | ![]() |
09/19/15 | at Alamogordo ?? | 0.033 | 1055 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-6) | 543 | 24% | ![]() |
09/22/15 | Gadsden | 0.191 | 1154 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+2) | 933 | 19% | ![]() |
09/26/15 | at Mayfield | 0.272 | 1051 | L 2- 4 | Expected (0) | 850 | 24% | ![]() |
09/29/15 | at Onate | 0.370 | 1018 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 884 | 28% | ![]() |
10/01/15 | Las Cruces | 0.328 | 1261 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 886 | 12% | ![]() |
10/08/15 | at Gadsden | 0.661 | 1154 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+2) | 952 | 17% | ![]() |
10/13/15 | Mayfield | 0.622 | 1051 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 781 | 28% | ![]() |
10/17/15 | Onate | 0.573 | 1018 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-2) | 714 | 31% | ![]() |
10/24/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.322 | 1261 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-3) | 699 | 10% | ![]() |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Deming actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1175, while
Deming's "weighted playing strength" is 833
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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