Strength
Strength
|
34 20 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
1018 -208 Strength Momentum |
1154 53.1(27) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/19/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.001 | 1197 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 1017 | 28% | |
| 08/21/15 | Cleveland | 0.002 | 1414 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1156 | 14% | |
| 08/22/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.002 | 1418 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1158 | 14% | |
| 08/28/15 | Santa Teresa ! | 0.006 | 1197 | W 1- 0 | Better (+3) | 1148 | 32% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Mayfield | 0.007 | 1051 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1094 | 44% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Chaparral !! | 0.016 | 1237 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 1187 | 25% | |
| 09/11/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.048 | 1103 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 1170 | 37% | |
| 09/12/15 | at Hobbs | 0.062 | 1254 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1096 | 23% | |
| 09/18/15 | at Sandia | 0.129 | 1114 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1026 | 36% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Valley | 0.139 | 1076 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 1107 | 41% | |
| 09/22/15 | Silver | 0.186 | 799 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 999 | 76% | |
| 09/26/15 | Las Cruces | 0.279 | 1261 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1080 | 26% | |
| 09/29/15 | Deming | 0.370 | 831 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 965 | 72% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Gadsden | 0.466 | 1154 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 995 | 32% | |
| 10/08/15 | at Mayfield ?? | 0.661 | 1051 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 994 | 44% | |
| 10/15/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.625 | 1261 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 948 | 22% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Deming | 0.573 | 831 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1135 | 69% | |
| 10/20/15 | Gadsden ? | 0.734 | 1154 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 926 | 37% | |
| 10/22/15 | Mayfield | 0.983 | 1051 | W 3- 2 | Better (+1) | 1075 | 48% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Onate actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1154, while
Onate's "weighted playing strength" is 1020
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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