Strength
Strength
|
27 16 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
1076 -134 Strength Momentum |
1137 51.2(34) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25/15 | Volcano Vista | 1371 | -3 | --- | 21% | | ||
| 08/27/15 | at Highland | 0.004 | 845 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1070 | 75% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.006 | 1399 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 1096 | 15% | |
| 09/02/15 | at Cleveland | 0.014 | 1414 | L 2- 3 | Expected (+3) | 1204 | 15% | |
| 09/04/15 | at Manzano | 0.019 | 886 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1041 | 71% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Manzano | 0.034 | 886 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1041 | 71% | |
| 09/11/15 | Piedra Vista | 0.012 | 799 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1338 | 82% | |
| 09/15/15 | Cleveland !! | 0.091 | 1414 | W 3- 2 | Better (+4) | 1285 | 18% | |
| 09/18/15 | Gadsden ! | 0.122 | 1154 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 1205 | 43% | |
| 09/19/15 | Onate ?? | 0.139 | 1018 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-2) | 988 | 59% | |
| 09/23/15 | at West Mesa | 0.211 | 1119 | W 4- 3 | Better (+2) | 1157 | 42% | |
| 09/26/15 | Atrisco Heritage ? | 0.181 | 1338 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 996 | 23% | |
| 09/30/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.287 | 1399 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 1046 | 15% | |
| 10/07/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.228 | 936 | W 7- 1 | Expected (+5) | 1320 | 65% | |
| 10/10/15 | West Mesa | 0.733 | 1119 | T 2- 2 | Better (0) | 1088 | 47% | |
| 10/14/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.607 | 1338 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 1015 | 20% | |
| 10/17/15 | Albuquerque | 0.573 | 1399 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 1027 | 18% | |
| 10/23/15 | Rio Grande | 0.930 | 936 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1097 | 69% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Valley actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1137, while
Valley's "weighted playing strength" is 1085
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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