21 11 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1154 -192 Strength Momentum |
1089 56.5(22) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/18/15 | at Centennial !! | 0.001 | 1281 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 1327 | 34% | |
08/20/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.001 | 1103 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1238 | 54% | |
08/22/15 | Hobbs | 0.002 | 1254 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1145 | 40% | |
08/25/15 | at Chaparral | 0.003 | 1237 | T 2- 2 | Better (+1) | 1205 | 38% | |
08/29/15 | Silver | 0.002 | 799 | W 8- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1324 | 86% | |
09/01/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.012 | 1197 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1135 | 42% | |
09/03/15 | at Alamogordo | 0.016 | 1055 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1164 | 60% | |
09/08/15 | Chaparral ! | 0.030 | 1237 | W 4- 1 | Better (+4) | 1336 | 42% | |
09/10/15 | at Goddard | 0.046 | 857 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-2) | 1065 | 79% | |
09/15/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.085 | 1197 | W 2- 0 | Better (+2) | 1266 | 47% | |
09/18/15 | at Valley ? | 0.122 | 1076 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 1024 | 57% | |
09/19/15 | at Sandia | 0.139 | 1114 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1193 | 53% | |
09/22/15 | at Deming | 0.191 | 831 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-2) | 1052 | 81% | |
09/29/15 | Mayfield ?? | 0.358 | 1051 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-2) | 1043 | 64% | |
10/03/15 | Onate | 0.466 | 1018 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1177 | 68% | |
10/06/15 | Las Cruces | 0.574 | 1261 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1148 | 40% | |
10/08/15 | Deming | 0.661 | 831 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1033 | 83% | |
10/17/15 | at Mayfield | 0.885 | 1051 | W 4- 3 | Expected (0) | 1162 | 59% | |
10/20/15 | at Onate | 0.734 | 1018 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1246 | 63% | |
10/22/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.983 | 1261 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1167 | 36% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Gadsden actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1089, while
Gadsden's "weighted playing strength" is 1146
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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