2015 Season results for Gadsden (BV,3-6A)

21   11   2
Rank in
State, Class, District
1154     -192
Strength     Momentum
1089   56.5(22)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  13W   6L   1T 
District  5W   3L   0T 
Expected  14:   4+   2- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/18/15 at Centennial !! 0.0011281W 3- 1 Better (+3)1327 34%
08/20/15 at Carlsbad 0.0011103W 2- 0 Expected (+2)1238 54%
08/22/15 Hobbs 0.0021254L 1- 2 Expected (0)1145 40%
08/25/15 at Chaparral 0.0031237T 2- 2 Better (+1)1205 38%
08/29/15 Silver 0.002799W 8- 1 Expected (+3)1324 86%
09/01/15 at Santa Teresa 0.0121197L 1- 2 Expected (0)1135 42%
09/03/15 at Alamogordo 0.0161055W 2- 1 Expected (0)1164 60%
09/08/15 Chaparral ! 0.0301237W 4- 1 Better (+4)1336 42%
09/10/15 at Goddard 0.046857W 2- 1 Expected (-2)1065 79%
09/15/15 Santa Teresa 0.0851197W 2- 0 Better (+2)1266 47%
09/18/15 at Valley ? 0.1221076L 1- 3 Worse (-3)1024 57%
09/19/15 at Sandia 0.1391114W 2- 1 Expected (+1)1193 53%
09/22/15 at Deming 0.191831W 2- 1 Expected (-2)1052 81%
09/29/15 Mayfield ?? 0.3581051L 1- 2 Worse (-2)1043 64%
10/03/15 Onate 0.4661018W 2- 0 Expected (0)1177 68%
10/06/15 Las Cruces 0.5741261L 1- 2 Expected (0)1148 40%
10/08/15 Deming 0.661831W 1- 0 Expected (-2)1033 83%
10/17/15 at Mayfield 0.8851051W 4- 3 Expected (0)1162 59%
10/20/15 at Onate 0.7341018W 3- 0 Expected (+2)1246 63%
10/22/15 at Las Cruces 0.9831261L 1- 2 Expected (0)1167 36%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Gadsden actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1089, while
Gadsden's "weighted playing strength" is 1146
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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