13 7 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1254 11 Strength Momentum |
1057 59.0(10) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | at Mayfield ?? | 0.001 | 1051 | L 2- 4 | Worse (-4) | 1062 | 71% | |
08/22/15 | at Gadsden | 0.002 | 1154 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1264 | 60% | |
08/25/15 | Artesia | 0.000 | 592 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1434 | 98% | |
08/29/15 | Portales | 0.002 | 819 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1384 | 91% | |
09/04/15 | at Centennial !! | 0.019 | 1281 | W 3- 2 | Better (+1) | 1327 | 45% | |
09/12/15 | Onate | 0.062 | 1018 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1177 | 77% | |
09/15/15 | at Roswell | 0.091 | 1039 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-3) | 1106 | 73% | |
09/18/15 | at Eldorado ? | 0.122 | 1070 | L 2- 4 | Worse (-4) | 1072 | 70% | |
09/19/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.104 | 1338 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-3) | 1104 | 37% | |
09/25/15 | St. Michael's | 0.189 | 870 | W 5- 1 | Expected (0) | 1254 | 89% | |
09/26/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.279 | 1057 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1215 | 72% | |
09/29/15 | Clovis | 0.326 | 1176 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 1106 | 62% | |
10/03/15 | Alamogordo | 0.494 | 1055 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1195 | 75% | |
10/10/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.702 | 1103 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1238 | 66% | |
10/17/15 | at Alamogordo | 0.885 | 1055 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1215 | 71% | |
10/20/15 | at Clovis | 0.932 | 1176 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1275 | 57% | |
10/24/15 | Carlsbad ! | 0.710 | 1103 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1370 | 70% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Hobbs actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1057, while
Hobbs's "weighted playing strength" is 1237
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
Go back to ratings for Boys Varsity Girls Varsity Main Page