| Overall | 12W 6L 1T |
| District | 4W 1L 1T |
| Expected | 11: 2+ 6- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
16 4 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1241 -92 Strength Momentum |
993 52.6(29) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | St. Michael's | 0.001 | 870 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1402 | 88% |  |
| 08/26/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.003 | 985 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1324 | 78% | |
| 08/29/15 | Moriarty ! | 0.003 | 904 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1367 | 86% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Robertson !! | 0.001 | 993 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1590 | 77% | |
| 09/04/15 | Artesia | 0.011 | 592 | W 6- 1 | Expected (-2) | 1159 | 98% | |
| 09/10/15 | Centennial | 0.044 | 1281 | W 3- 1 | Better (+2) | 1351 | 48% | |
| 09/11/15 | Farmington ? | 0.052 | 1173 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1147 | 62% | |
| 09/12/15 | Los Alamos | 0.060 | 1257 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1189 | 51% | |
| 09/14/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.080 | 918 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-2) | 1120 | 85% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.080 | 1162 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1311 | 59% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Los Lunas ?? | 0.115 | 1165 | L 3- 4 | Worse (-2) | 1162 | 57% | |
| 09/19/15 | Valencia | 0.127 | 1241 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-2) | 1131 | 52% | |
| 09/22/15 | Los Alamos | 0.191 | 1257 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1189 | 51% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Bernalillo | 0.141 | 898 | W 7- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1331 | 84% | |
| 09/29/15 | Del Norte | 0.121 | 784 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1359 | 93% | |
| 10/01/15 | at Farmington | 0.431 | 1173 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1166 | 57% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.733 | 1257 | T 2- 2 | Better (0) | 1258 | 45% | |
| 10/13/15 | Bernalillo | 0.267 | 898 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1416 | 87% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Del Norte | 0.573 | 784 | W 6- 2 | Expected (0) | 1223 | 91% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Capital actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 993, while
Capital's "weighted playing strength" is 1242
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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