| Overall | 13W 6L 1T |
| District | 2W 1L 1T |
| Expected | 16: 2+ 2- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
38 6 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
987 305 Strength Momentum |
890 54.1(26) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | at Santa Fe !! | 0.002 | 1162 | W 1- 0 | Better (+3) | 1134 | 28% |  |
| 08/22/15 | at East Mountain | 0.002 | 701 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 904 | 80% | |
| 08/22/15 | at Taos | 0.001 | 1288 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 895 | 17% | |
| 08/25/15 | NMMI | 0.002 | 890 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1181 | 66% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Chaparral | 0.005 | 1237 | L 1- 7 | Expected (-3) | 818 | 21% | |
| 09/04/15 | at Roswell | 0.006 | 1039 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-6) | 666 | 40% | |
| 09/05/15 | NMMI ? | 0.011 | 890 | L 0- 5 | Worse (-6) | 677 | 66% | |
| 09/05/15 | at Goddard ?? | 0.013 | 857 | L 1- 6 | Worse (-6) | 679 | 65% | |
| 09/15/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.076 | 918 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1093 | 63% | |
| 09/17/15 | East Mountain | 0.108 | 701 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 935 | 83% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Desert Academy | 0.110 | 627 | W 4- 1 | Expected (0) | 967 | 85% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.191 | 915 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 1011 | 57% | |
| 09/29/15 | at East Mountain | 0.282 | 701 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1004 | 80% | |
| 10/01/15 | Desert Academy | 0.309 | 627 | W 4- 0 | Expected (0) | 998 | 88% | |
| 10/06/15 | at NMMI | 0.452 | 890 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1099 | 61% | |
| 10/08/15 | Ruidoso ! | 0.150 | 915 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1352 | 62% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Socorro | 0.824 | 1047 | T 3- 3 | Better (+1) | 1027 | 39% | |
| 10/15/15 | Silver | 0.389 | 799 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1188 | 75% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Silver | 0.932 | 799 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-1) | 953 | 71% | |
| 10/22/15 | Socorro | 0.865 | 1047 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-2) | 907 | 44% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Hatch actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 890, while
Hatch's "weighted playing strength" is 1012
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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