2015 Season Rankings for 4A Girls Varsity Teams

Ratings are based on 646 weighted games statewide,
reported to NMAA from 8/16/2015 to 10/24/2015

The rankings here are defined by Median Team Strength

Displaying results only for Girls teams in Class 4A
Note: Games have been weighted so that close, recent games count more
in the strength ratings than early-season games or blowouts

How good are these ratings?
This week's strength ratings predict game winners 76% of the time.
The team with the higher RPI score wins 81% of the time.
Last week's strength ratings predicted winners of this week's games 93.0% of the time.
For more details, see here.


Class4A Rank1 /
RPI Rank
SchoolTeam #Prev
Rank2
Overall
W-L-T
District
W-L-T
District
Rank
Median Strength3,4 /
RPI
Range
Low to High5
Strength of
Schedule6
E/B/W7
1 / 4 Hope Christian 1-4A (3) 2 17-3-0 12-0-0 1 of 7 1348 / 64.4 1295 to 1401 1089 20/0/0
2 / 13 Socorro 3-4A (3) 2 19-0-1 4-0-0 1 of 3 1287 / 58.7 1202 to 1372 800 19/0/1
3 / 19 Sandia Prep 1-4A (7) 4 13-6-0 9-3-0 2 of 7 1186 / 56.9 1131 to 1238 1031 17/0/2
3 / 16 St. Michael's 2-4A (6) 1 16-2-1 10-0-0 1 of 6 1182 / 57.8 1135 to 1230 698 16/2/1
5 / 17 Bosque 1-4A (2) 5 13-5-2 9-3-0 3 of 7 1089 / 57.7 1044 to 1133 893 17/3/0
6 / 35 East Mountain 4-4A (1) 6 15-5-0 4-0-0 1 of 3 1024 / 48.7 978 to 1069 799 17/0/3
7 / 26 Taos 5-4A (4) 8 12-3-0 4-0-0 1 of 3 952 / 54.8 877 to 1026 717 14/1/0
8 / 49 Silver 3-4A (2) 7 6-9-4 2-2-0 2 of 3 895 / 42.3 827 to 961 952 12/4/3
8 / 41 Kirtland Central 1-4A (4) 10 7-12-1 5-7-0 4 of 7 893 / 47.1 842 to 942 1060 18/0/2
10 / 45 Ruidoso 4-4A (3) 9 5-9-1 2-2-0 2 of 3 827 / 43.9 768 to 885 895 12/2/1
11 / 53 Rehoboth Christian 1-4A (6) 13 6-14-0 3-9-0 5 of 7 802 / 41.5 755 to 853 845 17/0/3
11 / 62 Portales 4-4A (2) 13 4-13-1 0-4-0 3 of 3 799 / 37.6 745 to 856 920 14/0/4
13 / 55 Hatch 3-4A (1) 11 5-13-1 0-4-0 3 of 3 782 / 41.1 719 to 844 895 14/2/3
14 / 44 Bloomfield 1-4A (1) 12 6-12-1 4-8-0 6 of 7 761 / 44.8 708 to 813 893 16/3/0
15 / 38 Robertson 5-4A (3) 15 7-7-0 1-3-0 2 of 3 717 / 48.4 641 to 791 874 9/4/1
16 / 37 Monte del Sol 2-4A (3) 15 9-8-2 6-3-1 2 of 6 698 / 48.5 637 to 756 782 10/6/2
17 / 57 Pojoaque 5-4A (2) 17 4-13-0 1-3-0 3 of 3 689 / 40.4 615 to 761 761 13/1/3
17 / 60 Santa Fe Indian 2-4A (4) 20 5-10-1 4-6-0 3 of 6 686 / 38.1 630 to 740 693 10/1/5
19 / 50 Santa Fe Prep 2-4A (5) 17 6-13-1 5-5-0 4 of 6 654 / 42.1 601 to 706 758 15/4/1
20 / 65 Desert Academy 2-4A (2) 19 4-12-1 3-6-1 5 of 6 564 / 36.7 508 to 621 698 11/4/2
21 / 67 Navajo Prep 1-4A (5) 22 1-15-1 0-12-0 7 of 7 506 / 35.4 447 to 564 802 15/1/1
22 / 69 ATC 2-4A (1) 21 1-16-1 1-9-0 6 of 6 393 / 31.8 332 to 451 698 15/2/0
Notes:
1Power ranking is considered a tie when team strengths are statistically indistinguishable;
  RPI ranking is the state-wide RPI (not just a class ranking)
2Previous Power Ranking for games through 10/19/2015
3Games that go to Kicks from the Penalty Mark are recorded as ties
4Strength is defined as the median power rating for a team
5Home Field Advantage is approximately 32 strength points ( 0.32 goals)
6Low = 17th percentile strength rating (-1 std deviation)
  High = 83rd percentile strength rating (+1 std deviation)
7Entry is the median strength of rated opponents (based on the full season schedule)
8E = Expected performance = #games team won/lost as expected
 B  = Better than expected = #games won over higher ranked opponent
 W = Worse than expected = #games lost to lower ranked opponent
    (forfeited games do not count in E/B/W)

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